A Bayesian approach to mitigation of publication bias
Abstract
The reliability of published research findings in psychology has been a topic of rising concern. Publication bias, or treating positive findings differently from negative findings, is a contributing factor to this "crisis of confidence," in that it likely inflates the number of false-positive effects in the literature. We demonstrate a Bayesian model averaging approach that takes into account the possibility of publication bias and allows for a better estimate of true underlying effect size. Accounting for the possibility of bias leads to a more conservative interpretation of published studies as well as meta-analyses. We provide mathematical details of the method and examples.
Citation
(2016). A Bayesian approach to mitigation of publication bias. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 23, 74–86.
Bibtex
@article{guan_vandekerckhove:2016:publication, title = {{A} {B}ayesian approach to mitigation of publication bias}, author = {Guan, Maime and Vandekerckhove, Joachim}, year = {2016}, journal = {Psychonomic Bulletin \& Review}, volume = {23}, pages = {74--86} }